Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.117983 5.582299 6.088257 6.683868 7.370166 8.141457 9.081386
2025-02-16 4.343463 4.969984 5.704732 6.643349 7.830622 9.311414 11.346958
2025-02-23 3.934848 4.649816 5.531696 6.726396 8.347847 10.545731 13.895519
2025-03-02 3.538224 4.272764 5.210577 6.534751 8.426895 11.160215 15.688965
2025-03-09 3.255561 4.001623 4.981662 6.414751 8.556360 11.832786 17.708413
2025-03-16 3.050698 3.808576 4.829613 6.370738 8.771682 12.653005 20.190878
2025-03-23 2.940011 3.729457 4.821244 6.525331 9.302768 14.079302 24.272342
2025-03-30 2.748910 3.522348 4.609965 6.344753 9.257923 14.483719 26.412871
2025-04-06 2.579981 3.334336 4.410346 6.159158 9.174099 14.791994 28.451726
2025-04-13 2.431565 3.166096 4.227000 5.980192 9.074963 15.046434 30.465206
2025-04-20 2.327683 3.056022 4.122714 5.918782 9.175950 15.722064 33.903421
2025-04-27 2.282382 3.028727 4.141708 6.062450 9.673967 17.351319 41.056889
2025-05-04 2.221833 2.981501 4.136105 6.181876 10.183593 19.248387 51.071743
2025-05-11 2.137335 2.894274 4.062779 6.178967 10.459543 20.711975 61.342149
2025-05-18 2.076289 2.838945 4.036089 6.256312 10.917503 22.819662 77.657466
2025-05-25 1.974039 2.713267 3.884189 6.084285 10.800021 23.292259 86.451441
2025-06-01 1.891817 2.614956 3.771689 5.976314 10.811461 24.164011 99.642031
2025-06-08 1.828015 2.542650 3.698366 5.936683 10.976114 25.588181 120.672473
2025-06-15 1.798689 2.523982 3.715217 6.075831 11.597312 28.828167 170.905830
2025-06-22 1.723204 2.426511 3.588768 5.913277 11.435644 29.210341 192.847232
2025-06-29 1.651880 2.333040 3.464661 5.745968 11.239644 29.412386 215.003886
2025-07-06 1.585846 2.245811 3.347460 5.584401 11.038289 29.542642 238.822522
2025-07-13 1.539639 2.189697 3.283065 5.528907 11.114894 30.874529 298.988016